Writing
About markets, hindsight and the decisions people actually make. No tips, no signals, no predictions.
-
22 August 2026
Everyone thinks they would have bought the dip
In March 2020 the market fell 34% in 33 days. Almost nobody who says they would have bought actually did — and the reason is not that they were wrong about the price.
-
22 August 2026
What "sell the news" actually means
Ethereum announced exactly what it would do and exactly when. It did it, flawlessly, on the promised day — and the price fell. That is not cynicism, it is arithmetic.